Country risk profile
Central African Republic
Published by Salient One · Cite this profile
- ISO
- CAF
- Region
- Africa
- Population
- 5.5M
- Profile
- updated 7 Nov 2026, 06:01 UTC
Composite risk
100/100
SevereAssessment summary
The published severe-risk rating is led by Governance and Labour & Human Rights, based on 7 of 7 risk groups.
Risk by group
Low means available observations are below elevated-risk thresholds. Missing evidence is not treated as low risk.
Indicator evidence
Published values retain their original units and scale directions, with source links for verification.
GOVERNANCE · WB WGI
19.4/100Severe
Higher means stronger governance.
SOURCE: WB WGI · 2025
CORRUPTION · TI CPI
24.0/100High
Higher means cleaner public sector.
SOURCE: TI CPI · 2025
INFORM RISK · JRC
7.8/10Severe
Higher means greater crisis risk.
SOURCE: INFORM JRC · 2026
CHILD / FORCED LABOUR · US DOL
2 GOODSModerate
Diamonds, Gold
Child-labour category 2 · Forced-labour category 0
SOURCE: US DOL TVPRA · 2024
SANCTIONS · PERMITTED SOURCES
43 DESIGNATIONSLow
Selected lists: EU 10 · OFAC 25 · UN 0 · UK 8 · SECO 0
A country-level count is a screening signal, not a finding about any specific entity or evidence of national culpability.
VIOLENT EVENTS · GDELT
22/100 INTENSITYModerate
180-day CAMEO violent event intensity (normalized 0-100)
SOURCE: GDELT · queried 07/11/2026
FATF STATUS
NOT LISTED Low
Not in the FATF list — not subject to FATF monitoring or call for action
SOURCE: FATF
VOICE AND ACCOUNTABILITY · WB WGI
24.7/100
Broad perceptions-based measure, not a press-freedom index. Higher values indicate stronger voice and accountability.
WB WGI · 2025
PM2.5 EXPOSURE · WORLD BANK WDI
33.3 µg/m³
Population-weighted fine particulate exposure; higher values mean greater exposure.
World Bank WDI · 2023
CLIMATE RISK · ND-GAIN
27/100Severe
Notre Dame Global Adaptation Index — higher = better adapted (vuln. 59%, ready 14%)
SOURCE: ND-GAIN · 2024
TREATY RATIFICATION · ILO NORMLEX
8/8
Context only: legacy eight-convention ratification aggregate. C155 and C187 are excluded; ratification does not establish enforcement or project practice.
SOURCE: ILO NORMLEX · 2026
CHILD LABOUR · ILO ILOSTAT
28%Severe
Children aged 5–17 in child labour — ILO survey estimate
SOURCE: ILO ILOSTAT · 2019
Additional inputs
- War events · 180-day GDELT
- 5.5/100 intensity · 2026-11-07
- OECD country risk category
- 7/7 · 2026
- EU forced-labour product groups
- No country observation
- Water stress
- No country observation
- Land degradation
- No country observation
- Human development · context only
- 41/100 · 2023
Sector exposure
Sector Risk Intelligence
Child labour by sector · Conflict minerals · EUDR commodity risk · Forced labour detentions
Published model changes · 12 months
Recent score changes
Loading material changes…
These entries record changes in published model outputs. Review the source dates and evidence before relying on a change.
Published score, band and evidence-group changes for Central African Republic only.
Assessment and calculation
Group total 15 ÷ 7 available groups. Base 71.4 → published 100/100.
Published assessment rationale
Severe risk driven by Governance (severe — very low governance score (19.44/100, WB WGI 2025)), Labour & Human Rights (severe — very high child labour rate (28% of children aged 5-17, ILO ILOSTAT 2019)), Economic Fragility (severe — OECD country risk category 7/7 — highest risk (OECD CRC 2026)), Environmental (severe — extreme climate vulnerability and very low adaptive readiness (ND-GAIN 27/100 2024)), Corruption & Financial Crime (high — high corruption perception (24/100, TI CPI 2025)), and Conflict (moderate — elevated violent event intensity (22/100, 180-day GDELT CAMEO)).
Coverage measures available evidence, not certainty. See the exact formula and thresholds.
Research and reuse
Cite and reuse this profile
Commercial reuse is permitted subject to the listed source licences, attribution and modification notices. Salient One calculations are independent and do not imply publisher endorsement. Withheld sources and incomplete coverage are disclosed; this is not a legal compliance determination. Keep the source date and country-level limitations alongside the evidence.
Salient One (2026-11-07). Central African Republic Country Risk Profile. https://salientone.eu/s1/scorecard/central-african-republic. Country-level context; not an entity determination.
Salient One publishes the profile and its interpretation. Credit the underlying indicator publishers when using their data and retain their applicable terms. See our attribution guidance, reuse terms and corrections process.
Related tools
This profile provides regional context for project assessment. Site-specific impacts require project and stakeholder evidence.
Country annex: Word and PDF downloads after signing in.
Source dates and coverage
Observation periods and pipeline dates are distinct. A recent pipeline date does not verify the observation or establish complete coverage. Where no source-specific note is shown, fallback status was not supplied.
Scorecard computed7 Nov 2026, 06:01 UTC
| Source | Observation | Pipeline |
|---|---|---|
| Governance · WB WGI | 2025 | 1 Nov 2026, 04:04 UTC |
| Corruption · TI CPI | 2025 | 1 Nov 2026, 04:01 UTC |
| INFORM Risk · JRC | 2026 | 1 Nov 2026, 04:07 UTC |
| Child / forced labour · US DOL | 2024 | 1 Nov 2026, 04:07 UTC |
| Sanctions · aggregate ingestion marker | Unknown or not supplied | 7 Nov 2026, 04:05 UTC |
| Violent events · GDELT | Unknown or not supplied | 7 Nov 2026, 04:35 UTC |
| FATF | Unknown or not supplied | 4 Nov 2026, 18:58 UTC |
| Climate risk · ND-GAIN | 2024 | 7 Nov 2026, 04:20 UTC |
| Labour rights · ILO NORMLEXReviewed official matrix; legacy eight-convention aggregate excludes entries marked denounced. Context only; not proof of entry into force, implementation or enforcement. | 2026 | 4 Nov 2026, 19:00 UTC |
| Child labour · ILOSTATSurvey provenance requires validation before project-assessment use. | 2019 | 1 Nov 2026, 04:06 UTC |
| Country risk category · OECD | 2026 | 7 Nov 2026, 04:22 UTC |
| Human development · UNDP | 2023 | 1 Nov 2026, 04:13 UTC |
| Forced labour · EU | Unknown or not supplied | Not recorded |
| Air qualityWorld Bank WDI / GBD observation; no static fallback in the corrected ingestor. | 2023 | 1 Nov 2026, 04:13 UTC |
| Water and land · ingestion pausedHistorical fallback observations are unverified. UN SDG ingestion is paused pending reuse-term verification. | Unknown or not supplied | Not recorded |
Indicator sources
- Governance: https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/worldwide-governance-indicators
- Corruption: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-corruption-perceptions-index
- INFORM risk: https://drmkc.jrc.ec.europa.eu/inform-index/Portals/0/InfoRM/2026/INFORM_Risk_Mid_2026_v073.xlsx
- Child / forced labour: https://www.dol.gov/agencies/ilab/reports/child-labor/list-of-goods
- Violent events: https://console.cloud.google.com/bigquery?project=s1-scorecard&p=gdelt-bq&d=gdeltv2&t=events
- FATF status: https://www.fatf-gafi.org/en/countries/black-and-grey-lists.html
- Voice and accountability: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/country/all/indicator/GOV_WGI_VA.EST?format=json
- PM2.5 exposure: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/EN.ATM.PM25.MC.M3
- Climate risk: https://gain-new.crc.nd.edu/assets/gain/files/resources-2026-14-07-13h00.zip
- Treaty ratification: https://normlex.ilo.org/
- Child labour: https://ilostat.ilo.org/topics/child-labour/
- War events: https://console.cloud.google.com/bigquery?project=s1-scorecard&p=gdelt-bq&d=gdeltv2&t=events
- OECD country risk category: https://www.oecd.org/content/dam/oecd/en/topics/policy-sub-issues/country-risk-classification/cre-crc-current-english.pdf
- Human development: https://hdr.undp.org/data-center/human-development-index